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Toward Understanding Regional Hydroclimate Change: Insights from Moist Static Energy (MSE) Budget Analysis

Toward Understanding Regional Hydroclimate Change: Insights from Moist Static Energy (MSE) Budget Analysis

ABSTRACT:
In this talk, I will use two recent studies to substantiate the usefulness of MSE budget analysis for understanding forced regional circulation change. The first concerns the Sahel rainfall response to uniform oceanic warming ( http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0785.1 ), while the second deals with the East Asian monsoon change caused by absorbing aerosols ( https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Persad_etal_2016.pdf ). If time allows, I will touch upon the issue of how to use observations to falsify model simulations, which may hold the key to reliable climate projection.